August 14, 2022

Review and News

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Last week, this space fell victim to injury scuttlebutt that suggested Daniel Jones could be...

Last week, this space fell victim to injury scuttlebutt that suggested Daniel Jones could be back for the Giants’ game in Miami. That obviously didn’t happen and our pick landed in the hands of Mike Glennon, who was competent for a while but mostly impotent in a touchdown-free 20-9 loss to the Dolphins. At least now we know that Sunday against the Chargers at SoFi Stadium, the Giants will start either Glennon, coming off a concussion, or Jake Fromm.
The intrigue is on the other side as the Chargers are waiting to find out the status of top WR Keenan Allen (COVID protocol) and close contacts WR Mike Williams and CB Chris Harris. If the Bolts’ top two receivers do find their way into the lineup Sunday, that would be a bonus but the choice here is the Chargers even though a few stats give me pause.
The Chargers have only two double-digit wins this season.
They rank 31st in rushing yards allowed, which could give the Giants a chance to run clock and shorten the game. And the Giants are 4-1 against the spread this season in games after an ATS loss.
But the four successes were all with Jones, and he got hurt early in the one spread defeat at Dallas.
It just feels as if there’s a limit to how many points the Giants can score here, and in the words of Bruce Springsteen, it’s “not many … not many.”

The pick: Chargers, -10.
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) over NEW YORK JETS
Isn’t it just the Jets’ luck that Alvin Kamara and left tackle Terron Armstrong are able to return, and that Taysom Hill’s “mallet finger” is no longer a problem? The Saints also are coming in to MetLife with some extra rest after playing last Thursday. Meanwhile, the Jets’ injury report is daunting as dynamic Elijah Moore is on it with a quad and C.J. Mosley missed a midweek practice with a back injury. The Jets have given up an average of 33.7 ppg in their last seven, but the worst was the 54 points they yielded to the Patriots when Mosley was out.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-9.5) over Las Vegas Raiders
The Chiefs went from being a team that hardly ever covered the spread to one with three straight ATS wins as part of a five-game, straight-up winning streak. The last two games they won by 10 over Dallas at -2.5 and by 13 over Denver at -8.5. But the week before that, they clobbered the Raiders in Las Vegas 41-14 at -3. Something about the Silver & Black brought out the vintage Patrick Mahomes. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has the KC defense on fire now, as well.
TENNESSEE TITANS (-9) over Jacksonville Jaguars
Laying a ton of points thus far, buoyed a little by the fact that the five biggest favorites covered the spread last week. Here’s another one in which the ’dog is just too ugly, with Trevor Lawrence’s criticism of Urban Meyer for benching James Robinson now out in the open. Titans’ bye came at a good time after the loss to the Texans and blowout by the Patriots.
Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS
Browns are off a bye while the Ravens are depleted in many areas after a brutally physical loss to the Steelers. Nevertheless, just two weeks ago, Lamar Jackson threw four interceptions and the Ravens still beat the Browns, so this could be a case of taking the better team with points.
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson pitches the ball while being hit by the Browns’ Jadeveon Clowney.Getty Images
CAROLINA PANTHERS (-2.5) over Atlanta Falcons
Panthers won 19-13 in Atlanta on Halloween as the defense intercepted Matt Ryan twice and sacked him three times. Carolina coach Matt Rhule obviously believes his offense can do better with Cam Newton in and OC Joe Brady gone.
Dallas Cowboys (-4) over WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM
The WFT has stacked four wins in a row but the last two were by the dicey score of 17-15. Cowboys are as healthy as they’ve been and have a little extra rest off a Thursday nighter. Take away the 19-9 dud in Kansas City and the Cowboys are averaging 26.2 ppg in their other five road games.
Seattle Seahawks (-8) over HOUSTON TEXANS
After a season of struggle, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks suddenly are so good that you’d want to lay more than a touchdown with them? No, but the opposition is so bad as to be almost unbettable. The Texans have losses of 40-0, 31-0, 31-3 and 31-5 on their dance card this season.
Seahawks quarterback Russell WilsonGetty Images
Detroit Lions (+10) over DENVER BRONCOS
The only other time the Broncos were favored by at least this much, they beat the Jets 26-0 at -10. But in general, this is not the preferred role for Teddy Bridgewater, who’s been a much better bet as an underdog. Lions have covered eight of 12 despite the 1-10-1 SU record.
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3) over Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is on a short week after a weird-weather loss to the Patriots. At 7-5 this shapes up as a desperation game for a good team that needs a signature win to get back on the Super Bowl track. The problem for the Bills is that Tom Brady is in the other huddle — the same Tom Brady who is 32-3 lifetime against them with 70 touchdown passes.
San Francisco 49ers (-1) over CINCINNATI BENGALS
The line flipped on this game with the 49ers becoming the slight favorites. Cool early evening conditions favor the 49ers’ strong running game. The Bengals rely more on the pass, and Joe Burrow is dealing with a finger injury.
GREEN BAY PACKERS (-12.5) over Chicago Bears
In the first 11 weeks, the Packers reached 31 points just once. Then in their last two games, they hit for 31 in a loss to the Vikings and 36 in a win over the Rams. Justin Fields returns for the Bears but could have trouble with his ribs, some rust and the Lambeau winds.
ARIZONA CARDINALS (-2.5) over Los Angeles Rams
Would have considered Rams +3 but at this price I’ll defer to concern that Sean McVay hasn’t figured out how to replace injured WR Robert Woods and that Sony Michel wouldn’t be an ample fill-in if RB Darrell Henderson can’t go.
Best bets: Chiefs, Seahawks, BuccaneersLock of the week: Chiefs (Locks 7-5 in 2021)Last week: 5-9 overall, 1-2 Best BetsThursday: Steelers

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